Economic Relations between Kazakhstan and Russia
the countries of foreign countries (83 %) (Diagrama5).
The indexes of export of petroleum in 2001 essentially have varied as
contrasted to 2000. Alongside with export of Kazakhstan realizes import of
petroleum. And 98 % of all imported volumes of petroleum are necessary on
Russian Federation.
The lowering of the excise rates on imported petrol with 80 up to 31
EURO per ton in 2001 and falling recently of world prices per oil promoted
magnifying of delivering of the Russian oil for in-house processing. The
export of petroleum to the countries of CIS became more attractive for
Russia, than the delivering of oil on the world market, as, for example, in
Kazakhstan of the price on the same aspects of petroleum is much higher
Russian.
Kazakhstan more than on 50 % depends on Russia in a ratio of delivering
of crude oil on refinery factory in Shimkentand Pavlodar receive west
Siberian oil on the algorithm manifold from Omsk. Pavlodar refinery factory
on 100 % depends from west Siberian of oil. Shimkent usually works on 75 %
on west Siberian and on 25 % on raw material Kumkol of a deposit. Today
dependence from of west Siberian oil “Orgsintez” is reduced half at the
expense of use of the Aktyubinsk oil, transport by a railway transportation
from west of Kazakhstan. Because of lowering production of oil on west
Siberian deposits, fadeout of payments and mutual debts the question of
security by oil Pavlodar and Shimkent refinery factory more than once
acquired critical character, and the capacity factor of powers of these
enterprises frequently lowered below 0,5.
Its technological dependence on Russia falls into basic problems
Pavlodar refinery factory: the production cycle of the enterprise is
calculated for consumption west Siberian of oil with the low contents of
sulfur and paraffin. The perspectives flagship of the Kazakhstan oil
processing is complicated with its neighborhood with the Russian factories
- competitors:
Omsk, Ufa, Volgograd refinery factory by the enterprises being
vertically - integrated, they have stable access to crude oil, besides on
reduced prices, which the necessities of northern Kazakhstan in petroleum
could at desire completely satisfy.
Structure of export of the Kazakhstan oil, 2001
[pic]
Diagram 5
In oil and gas of branch the cooperating explicates also through link of
share development of the Kazakhstan deposits. Russia in the projects on
natural resources users in region of Republic of Kazakhstan, as it is
possible to see from the Diagrama6, occupies the fourth place and makes 6
%. The Russian investments in a mineral-raw complex (MSK) of Kazakhstan
have made in 2000 32,2 million of dollars, including in investigation
hydrocarbon of raw material (UVS) 3,5 mln of dollars, in production of hard
minerals (TPI) - 28,7 mln of dollars.
Two Russian investors “Bashnevt” and OJSC “Lukoil” submit the
investments in UVS. In oil branch of Kazakhstan the company “Lukoil” is
submitted in such large projects, Tengiz and Karachiganak Besides “Lukoil”
is ready to expand the presence at Kazakhstan, messages not only
development of ready deposits, but also prospecting operations.
The large interest in relation to Kazakhstan is expressed with the large
oil Russian company “Yokus” which has received a section for developments
in Russia and region of Kazakhstan.
Structure of the direct foreign investments in Kazakhstan,2000[pic]
Diagram 6
In sphere TPI of Kazakhstan the Russian investors are submitted by
such large companies, as the Russian Academy of Science of European
Economic Community (83,9 %), OJSC “Magnitogorsk” metallurgical combine
(10,6 %) and NPK “Investor” (3,8 %).
The Kazakhstan enterprises also show interest to the Russian projects.
So, “Kazakhoil” (“Kazmunaigas”) negotiates for share developments in Tomsk
region, on a deposit “Komsomolsk” in the Astrakhan region. At Kazakhstan
oilman there are intentions to develop deposits in the Arkhangelsk region.
Since 2000 the electric power system of Kazakhstan works in a parallel
condition from European Economic Community of Russia and grid system of the
countries of Central Asia.
The parallel operation of electric power systems considerably has
boosted quality of electrical power and reliability of electro supply of
consumers of Kazakhstan, Central Asia and Russian Federation, and also has
allowed operatively to realize surplus of electricity both transit of
electrical power and powers, it is more rational to use power powers of
electrical stations. The electric power system of Kazakhstan and Russian
Academy of Science European Economic Comminity of Russia is called secure
each other in case of crashes.
In the whole cooperating of Kazakhstan and Russia in fuel and energy
sphere has noticeable perspectives.
Rather perspective the project of transfer of a direct current
Ekibastuz - Tambov by voltage 1 500 sq is. This project opens an
opportunity of transport of the electric power of the Siberian power
stations and Ekibastuz heater in central regions of Russia and in the
countries of Europe.
With the purposes of security of a mutually acceptable uniform tax
condition of trade in the electric power, utilities equipment it is
expedient to realize transition of the countries at collection of indirect
taxes on a principle the countries of assignment. In this connection for a
heightening of efficiency of a parallel operation of electric power systems
the simplification of customs procedures is important at migration of
electrical power through the customs boundary.
The major factor of a development of the power market is the deepening
of cooperating in the field of scientific researches and developments of
advanced techniques in manufacture of power, electro technical equipment.
Now all aspects of equipment are made for power stations in Russia,
(Leningrad metal factory, Belenergomash, Uralenergomash, Siberenergomash).
With disintegration of Union economic links between the manufacturers and
consumers of a utilities equipment considerably have worsened, that is
negatively reflected in availability index of product of power complexes of
the country. On this question it is expedient except of concrete measures
at a level of Government.
1.3 Cooperating in sphere of transport and communications.
Cooperating in sphere of transport and communications one of the most
perspective regions of a development of two-sided ratios between Kazakhstan
and Russia. Both states in a context of a development of transport
cooperating have the friend for the friend a strategic value, as, apart
from a wide national transport web, occupy defining a geographical
position.
Kazakhstan and Russia are closely coupled by the transport
communications. In this connection of Kazakhstan is sensitive reacts to any
variations under the tariffs for freight traffic on region of Russia.
One of key here of questions - transportation of oil and gas through
region of Russia. In aggregate transportation of the Caspian oil and in the
whole oil is one of the major sides of the Russia -Kazakhstan cooperating.
First of all this magnifying of a channel capacity of an oil pipeline
Atyrau – Samara up to 15 millions tons of oil per one year. The intimation
into service CPC ensures export of the Kazakhstan oil on a long-term
perspective.
In a period with 1995 and till 1999 Russia gave Kazakhstan such quota,
which did not allow the Kazakhstan exporters to involve the algorithm
manifold Atyrau – Samara on an apparent watts its annual channel capacity
in 10,5 mln of tons of oil. And only in 1999 the algorithm manifold was
loaded almost on 100 %. The agreement on magnifying of a quota at transit
of oil in long-distance foreign countries at first up to 5 mln of tons
(December 23, 1998) was signed, and then (February 25, 1999) up to 7,5 mln
of tons (the quota in short-range foreign countries has remained former -
3,5 mln of tons). This decision initiated occurrence of the project of
reconstruction and modernizing of the algorithm manifold Atyrau – Samara
for magnifying of a channel capacity at first up to 12 mln of tons, then -
up to 15 mln of tons.
This project, designed transport companies of both countries - Russian
“Transoil” and Kazakhstan “Kazakhoil”, is favorable to both sides. For
“Transoil” the transportation of the Kazakhstan oil on the algorithm
manifolds that for complete use of their powers does not suffice 20 mln
tons, brings additional profit.
The first stage of reconstruction of the algorithm manifold Atyrau -
Samara- its channel capacity now is realized is lifted up to 12 mln of
tons. Due to this the arrangement with Russia about magnifying of a transit
quota in 2000 also was reached.
For Kazakhstan the magnifying of a channel capacity of the algorithm
manifold Atyrau – Samara and export of oil through Russia opens the
perspective market of selling, what Europe is. On a system of oil pipelines
"«Friendship" the Kazakhstan oil can act in Germanium, Poland, Hungary,
Slovenia, Czechia and Slovakia, where there is a stable demand for oil.
Under the forecasts of the experts, by 2010 Central and East Europe will
import about 80 mln of tons of oil to one year. Now more than half of
volumes of imported oil in this region make delivering of the countries of
CIS, primarily - from Russia (51 %). Having expanded outbound opportunities
in this direction, Kazakhstan can become one of the largest suppliers of
raw material in the European countries.
By share efforts of Kazakhstan and Russia is put into operation
Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC). The common extent of the algorithm
manifold makes 1 580 km, primal channel capacity 28 mln ton / year. Thus
for reaching a maximum channel capacity 67 mln of tons of oil per one year
(from them 45 mln ton - for Kazakhstan oil supplier) it is necessary only
to augment opportunities of pump stations, that is recognized schedule to
carry out in four stages. There is a construction of the algorithm manifold
up to Atyrau, which will connect Karachiganak with CPC and will allow
originally pumping up to 7 mln of tons of oil, and in future - up to 11 mln
of tons.
During nearest of forty years CPC will be a stable source of the
incomes for the shareholders, and also Russia and Kazakhstan. According to
accounts, for a period of maintenance of the algorithm manifold in federal
and regional budgets of Russia will arrive approximately 23,3 billion of US
dollars as deductions and profit, of Kazakhstan will receive approximately
8,2 billion of dollars.
The development of transport cooperating with Russian Federation is
most actual for Kazakhstan’s for today within the framework of architecture
of regional and transcontinental transit.
Regional transit. Russian Federation is one of the basic countries of
shaping and assignment of transit weights; on its share it is necessary
about 26 % of shaping and 20 % of assignment of weights from total amount
of all transit transportations.
Transcontinental transit. In the whole transit streams in directions
Southeast and East Asia Europe are evaluated approximately in 330 - 400
billion of dollars. Thus up to 20 % of these streams can pass through
region of Russia and Kazakhstan.
Taking into account in the whole size commodity circulation, iron roads of
the Eurasian continent and primarily Kazakhstan and Russia have real
potential for partial stylus orientations transcontinental good traffic
with sea on railway routes.
For Kazakhstan in this direction of activity has a primary value a
development of transportations on Northern corridor Trans Asian of a
railway turnpike on a route “China - Kazakhstan - Russia – Byelorussia
Poland - Germany. Now Kazakhstan together with Russia Europe - Asia and
back carries on active operation on shaping this terrestrial transport
corridor by the message.
As a whole in transport-communication sphere before Kazakhstan the
following tasks stand:
• Saving conditions for transit of the Kazakhstan power resources through
region of Russia, maintenance at a necessary level of quotas on transit of
oil for Kazakhstan.
• Scheduled magnifying of a channel capacity CPC.
• Decision of accumulating questions between the Ministry of means of
communication of Russian Federation and CJSC of “Kazakhstan Temir Joli” on
railroad rates and other questions.
• Creation of the share enterprises in transport branch.
• Realization share transport - communication of the projects on active use
of transit potential of Kazakhstan and Russia.
2. ABOUT A CONDITION OF FOREIGN TRADE BOTH DEV’T OF THE JOINT /
ENTERPRISES KAZAKHSAN AND RUSSIA
Indexes of foreign trade of RK with RF, 1995-2001
| |1995 |1996 |1997 |1998 |1999 |2000 |2001 |
|Commodity | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2489,2 | 4227,6 | 4 639,3|
|circulation |265,5 |809,0 |257.2 |323.2 | | | |
|mln of US | | | | | | | |
|dollars | | | | | | | |
|In % to the | | 112,7 | 88,5 | 78,1 | 74,8 | 169,8 | 109,7 |
|appropriate | | | | | | | |
|period of the| | | | | | | |
|previous year| | | | | | | |
|Export, mln | 2 | 2484,4| 2 | 1 | 1 138,6| 1 769,1| 1 748,4|
|of US dollars|365,8 | |287,8 |611,4 | | | |
|In % to the | | 105 | 92,1 | 70,4 | 70,7 | 155,4 | 98,8 |
|appropriate | | | | | | | |
|period of the| | | | | | | |
|previous year| | | | | | | |
|Import, mln | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 350,6| 2458,5 | 2 890,9|
|of US dollars|899.7 |324,6 |969,4 |711,8 | | | |
|In % to the | | 122,4 | 84,7 | 86,9 | 78,9 | 182 | 117,6 i|
|appropriate | | | | | | | |
|period of the| | | | | | | |
|previous year| | | | | | | |
|Balance, mln | 466,1| 159,8 | 318,4 | -100,4| -212 | -689,4 | -1 |
|of US dollars| | | | | | |142,5 |
|Specific | 45,1 | 42 | 35,2 | 29,6 | 19,8 | 19,4 | 20,2 |
|gravity of | | | | | | | |
|Russia in | | | | | | | |
|total amount | | | | | | | |
|of export | | | | | | | |
|from | | | | | | | |
|Kazakhstan, | | | | | | | |
|in % | | | | | | | |
|Specific | 49,9 | 54,8 | 45,8 | 39,4 | 36,7 | 48,7 | 45,4 |
|gravity of | | | | | | | |
|Russia in | | | | | | | |
|total amount | | | | | | | |
|of import in | | | | | | | |
|Kazakhstan, | | | | | | | |
|in % | | | | | | | |
Russian Federation of the valid historically folded processes of an
economic development is the basic trade partner of Kazakhstan and basic
consumer of Kazakhstan production. The specific gravity of Russian
Federation in volume of export in the countries of CIS annually makes not
less than 91-93 %.
In 1997 the reorientation on a development of the foreign trade links
with the countries of long-distance foreign countries began. In this
connection a -percent ratio in volumes of export between the countries of
Commonwealth essentially has varied. In 1997 there was cutting volumes of
foreign trade between Russia and Kazakhstan, per consequent years this
tendency continued to be magnified. On many goods occupying a powerful
share in export of Kazakhstan production in Russia, there was a significant
lowering of standard items.
In 2000 there was an essential heightening of volumes of export with
all countries - basic trade partners from among Commonwealth. The foreign
trade turnover of Kazakhstan with Russia in 2000 has approximated to a
level of 1997. The export has increased as contrasted to 1999 in 1,5 times,
the import has increased by 82 %. In 2001 as contrasted to 2000 of
delivering in Russian Federation practically have remained at a former
level (reduction by 1 %).
The share of Russia in total amount of export in 2001 has made 20,2 %
(in 2000 -19,4 %).
The greatest specific gravity in structure of export in Russian Federation
occupy:
Mineral products - 47,1 of % in 2001 (46,8 % in 2000): coal - 91 % of
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